Skip to content

Tag: GKA

The Contrasting Styles of the AFL's Big Men The Shots that Made the 2017 Coleman Medal

Posted in ExpScore, Scoring Map, Shot Quality, and xScore

Round 23 will be long remembered for the "live ladder" fueled drama on Sunday evening which saw West Coast creep into the eight at the…

Who are the Best (and Worst) Kicks in the Comp? Looking at Goalkicking in 3 Different Ways

Posted in Analytics Landscape, ExpScore, Shot Quality, and xScore

For the fourth week in a row, a player has missed a potential match-winning shot with the last kick of the game. Isaac Smith relived…

Are St Kilda a Sleeping Giant? A Look at For and Against xScore Percentages

Posted in Analytics Landscape, ExpScore, Scoring Map, Shot Quality, Team Analysis, and xScore

I spend a fair bit of time here developing ratings to compare team quality beyond their simple win/loss record. But I'll let you in on…

Why 2017 Results Are Flattering The Cats A re-introduction to ShotPlots

Posted in Analytics Landscape, ExpScore, Scoring Map, Shot Quality, and xScore

You may have noticed the website has been a bit quiet lately. Along with the usual "life commitments" spiel, the main reason for this lack…

The Shots that Made the 2016 Coleman Medal Kennedy is Freakishly Accurate, Buddy is Just a Freak

Posted in ExpScore, Scoring Map, and Shot Quality

The Coleman Medal, for most goals in the H&A season, was won this week by West Coast's Josh Kennedy for the second year running. His 80…

Match Analysis Using Shot Quality A Review of the Melbourne v Hawthorn Game

Posted in ExpScore, Game Analysis, Scoring Map, and Shot Quality

Last week I introduced a model which can be used to calculate the true quality of any scoring shot taken during a match. This basically quantifies…

A Model to Predict and Rate Shots by Quality Formalising and Parametrising Shot Probability

Posted in ExpScore, Game Analysis, Scoring Map, and Trends and Historic Analysis

A little over a month ago I published some empirical Goal Kicking Accuracy maps that looked at the likelihood of kicking a goal from each…

The Goal-Kicking Accuracy Fallacy Every Club in the AFL Kicks at Roughly the Same Level

Posted in ExpScore, and Team Metrics

Last week I posted an article visualising the competition average Goal-Kicking Accuracy (GKA) for shots from every position on the ground. If you haven't read that…

Goal Kicking Accuracy Maps - ExpScore What's a Shot Worth?

Posted in ExpScore, Game Analysis, and Scoring Map

What this early article refers to as "ExpScore" is now known by the snappier "xScore". A key component of my FFSS ratings, which are used…