Followers of this blog have likely read my thoughts on the lacklustre state of AFL analytics, both inside clubs and throughout media has a whole. The…
Category: Game Analysis
A couple of big games have shaken up the 8 completely after the last round of the Home & Away season. Not only does the…
Match Analysis Using Shot Quality A Review of the Melbourne v Hawthorn Game
Posted in ExpScore, Game Analysis, Scoring Map, and Shot Quality
Last week I introduced a model which can be used to calculate the true quality of any scoring shot taken during a match. This basically quantifies…
A Model to Predict and Rate Shots by Quality Formalising and Parametrising Shot Probability
Posted in ExpScore, Game Analysis, Scoring Map, and Trends and Historic Analysis
A little over a month ago I published some empirical Goal Kicking Accuracy maps that looked at the likelihood of kicking a goal from each…
Goal Kicking Accuracy Maps – ExpScore What's a Shot Worth?
Posted in ExpScore, Game Analysis, and Scoring Map
What this early article refers to as “ExpScore” is now usually referred to as”xScore”. A key component of my FFSS ratings, which are used to…
I have been playing around with different types of data visualisation lately, particularly visualising scoring shots. I’m hoping to clearly see the quality of chances each team created to get a better idea of the styles they are playing and also their finishing ability. I previously looked at Goal-Kicking Accuracy in a very general sense and found that every team converts at more-or-less the same percentage (Goals/Behinds) in the long run. However, in that post I didn’t consider the quality of chances created, which is something I plan to spend much more time on in the future.