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Category: Game Analysis

A Fresh Way to Think About Footy - Adelaide v North Some new tools for footy analysis.

Posted in Age Profile, Analytics Landscape, Game Analysis, Scoring Map, Shot Quality, and Team Metrics

Followers of this blog have likely read my thoughts on the lacklustre state of AFL analytics, both inside clubs and throughout media has a whole. The…

Ratings After Round 23 How each team sits after the H&A season

Posted in Game Analysis, and Ratings

A couple of big games have shaken up the 8 completely after the last round of the Home & Away season. Not only does the…

Match Analysis Using Shot Quality A Review of the Melbourne v Hawthorn Game

Posted in ExpScore, Game Analysis, Scoring Map, and Shot Quality

Last week I introduced a model which can be used to calculate the true quality of any scoring shot taken during a match. This basically quantifies…

A Model to Predict and Rate Shots by Quality Formalising and Parametrising Shot Probability

Posted in ExpScore, Game Analysis, Scoring Map, and Trends and Historic Analysis

A little over a month ago I published some empirical Goal Kicking Accuracy maps that looked at the likelihood of kicking a goal from each…

Goal Kicking Accuracy Maps - ExpScore What's a Shot Worth?

Posted in ExpScore, Game Analysis, and Scoring Map

What this early article refers to as "ExpScore" is now known by the snappier "xScore". A key component of my FFSS ratings, which are used…

A Brief Analysis of Scoring Shots in the Grand Final

Posted in Game Analysis, and Scoring Map

I have been playing around with different types of data visualisation lately, particularly visualising scoring shots. I'm hoping to clearly see the quality of chances each team created to get a better idea of the styles they are playing and also their finishing ability. I previously looked at Goal-Kicking Accuracy in a very general sense and found that every team converts at more-or-less the same percentage (Goals/Behinds) in the long run. However, in that post I didn't consider the quality of chances created, which is something I plan to spend much more time on in the future.